Leaked Memo Confirms Dems’ Worst Fears
In a startling development that could reshape the 2024 presidential race, leaked Republican National Committee data shows Democrats facing unprecedented voter turnout deficits across crucial battleground states, particularly in their traditional urban strongholds.
The confidential memo from RNC Chief Data Consultant Tim Saler reveals a dramatic shift in early voting patterns that could spell trouble for Vice President Kamala Harris’s presidential bid.
According to the data, Republicans and President Donald Trump are outperforming previous election cycles in both absentee and early voting across all battleground states.
The numbers paint a stark picture.
In Arizona, urban turnout has plummeted by 385,285 votes compared to 2020, while rural participation has increased by 14,124 votes.
Georgia shows similar trends, with urban voting down by 153,846 while rural turnout has surged by 171,837 votes.
Even Democrat strategists are sounding alarm bells.
Former Obama campaign manager Jim Messina admitted on MSNBC that “the early vote numbers are a little scary.”
NBC News polling indicates Trump holds a commanding 16-point lead (56-40) among voters planning to cast their ballots on Election Day.
The situation appears particularly dire in Pennsylvania, where urban turnout has decreased by 381,519 votes compared to 2020.
Former Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter indicated Harris would need a 600,000-vote margin in Philadelphia alone on Election Day to overcome Trump’s advantage, per the memo.
Other battleground states show equally concerning trends for Democrats.
Michigan reports urban turnout down by 321,523 votes, while Wisconsin shows a decrease of 100,733 urban votes.
Nevada’s urban participation has dropped by 191,199 votes, per the memo.
North Carolina reports 175,470 fewer urban voters.
Female voter participation, traditionally a key Democratic demographic, has also declined significantly.
Pennsylvania shows the steepest drop with 450,802 fewer female voters compared to 2020, while Wisconsin reports a decrease of 238,452.
Democrat data expert Tom Bonier of TargetSmart reportedly confirmed these numbers, which suggest a substantial enthusiasm gap between Republican and Democratic voters.
David Axelrod, Obama’s former chief campaign strategist, expressed uncertainty about Election Day turnout for Harris during a CNN appearance.
The RNC memo suggests Democrats face an uphill battle in motivating their base to turn out on Election Day, noting this would require a dramatic departure from historical voting patterns.
Resist the Mainstream previously reported that the United States is currently preparing for potential civil unrest as voters head to the polls.
Eerie photos now circulate social media showcasing states preparing for the worst.
With the race between President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris hanging in the balance, authorities across key battleground states have implemented extraordinary security measures.
A recent survey of 1,003 likely voters revealed deep concerns about election-related violence, Daily Mail highlighted.
Over 25 percent of respondents believe rioting will occur regardless of the winner, while 10 percent fear the possibility of civil war.